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Canadian uranium developer of the Arrow project in Saskatchewan, the world's largest undeveloped high-grade uranium deposit.
| Milestone | Target Date | Status (Regulatory Body) | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineral resource definition (Inferred + Indicated) | Complete 2017 | Achieved | ~3.75 Mlbs U3O8 measured + indicated | |
| Feasibility Study (FS) | Complete 2021 | Achieved | Definitive FS published Feb 2021; updated FS 2023 | |
| Provincial Environmental Assessment (Saskatchewan) | 2024-Q4 | Achieved | Saskatchewan EA approved Nov 2024 | |
| Federal Environmental Assessment (CNSC) | Target 2025-Q4 | In progress | Federal EA hearings continuing through 2025 | |
| First Nations consultation + IBA (Impact Benefit Agreements) | Ongoing | Multiple First Nations agreements signed; remaining negotiations continuing | Cumulative IBA commitments + revenue-sharing arrangements | |
| Final Investment Decision (FID) | Target 2025-2026 | Subject to federal EA + financing | Estimated capex ~$1.5B (initial; total ~$2.2B life-of-mine) | |
| Construction begun | Target 2026-2027 | Subject to FID | Underground access (decline) + processing facility | |
| First commissioning | Target 2028 | Subject to construction schedule | Estimated based on NexGen FS schedule | |
| First commercial production (declared) | Target 2029 | Subject to commissioning + ramp | Stated 2029 by NexGen; consensus 2029-2030 | |
| Steady-state production (~29 Mlbs U3O8/yr peak) | Target 2030-2031 | Subject to ramp schedule | Industry-low cash cost ~$14/lb stated | |
| Editorial. Why this matters | Strategic context | Arrow is the highest-grade undeveloped uranium deposit globally + the marquee Western-aligned uranium development project of the 2020s. Once in production, Arrow would supply ~10-12% of Western annual uranium demand at industry-low cash costs. Marquee question: does NexGen complete federal EA + reach FID 2025-2026 + first production 2028-2029, validating the Athabasca Basin's structural role in post-PRUIA Western uranium supply security? |

$NXE
Canadian uranium developer of the Arrow project in Saskatchewan, considered the world's largest undeveloped high-grade uranium deposit. Pre-production; first uranium target late 2020s pending permits.