Data Centers
The AI Data Center Buildout
Big-Four Hyperscaler Capex
Cash capital spending by Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta, the demand signal every other layer of this sector trades on. Combined spend roughly doubled between 2023 and 2025 to about $376B, and that excludes finance leases, so the true figure is higher still.
NVIDIA Data Center Revenue
The cleanest public confirmation that committed capex is converting into deployed AI infrastructure. Gear orders, construction, and power demand all follow this line with a lag of quarters.
North America Under Construction
Primary-market capacity under construction peaked at 6,350 MW at year-end 2024 and eased to 5,994 MW at year-end 2025, the first decline since 2020, as permitting and power delivery stretched timelines. Most of the pipeline remains preleased.
AI Megaprojects
The flagship campuses, from Stargate to Colossus. Claimed gigawatts and dollar figures are sponsor statements that mix ambition with contracted spend; the status column is the part to watch.
| Project | Sponsors | Claimed scale |
|---|---|---|
| Stargate | OpenAI, Oracle, SoftBank, Crusoe | Up to $500B over four years; ~10 GW ambition; Abilene planned at ~1.2 GW |
| Hyperion | Meta | ~2 GW initially, scaling toward 5 GW over several years |
| Prometheus | Meta | ~1 GW cluster |
| Colossus | xAI | 100,000 GPUs initially, expanded past 200,000; Colossus 2 targeting ~1M |
| Fairwater | Microsoft | Described by Microsoft as its most powerful AI datacenter; multi-site program |
| Project Rainier | Amazon (for Anthropic) | ~2.2 GW campus ambition; hundreds of thousands of Trainium chips |
Neocloud Scorecard
The AI-specialized GPU clouds that anchor much of the new leased capacity. Their contract backlogs are enormous relative to revenue, which is either the sector's growth runway or its credit risk, depending on how AI demand develops.
| Company | Revenue | Contracted backlog |
|---|---|---|
| CoreWeave (CRWV) | $1.9B (2024) to $5.1B (2025); $2.1B in Q1 2026 | Revenue backlog above $55B reported in late 2025 after OpenAI and Meta deals |
| Nebius (NBIS) | $0.5B (2025); $0.4B in Q1 2026, roughly tripling year over year | Microsoft contract of up to roughly $19B (2025) plus other multi-year deals |
| Crusoe (private) | Private; not disclosed | Multi-gigawatt development pipeline across Texas and the Midwest |
| Lambda (private) | Private; not disclosed | Multi-billion dollar Microsoft agreement announced in 2025 |
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