Quantum

Public Pure-Play Revenue, FY2024 vs FY2025

Annual revenue for the public quantum pure-plays. Growth is high off tiny bases, but the absolute numbers stay small against market caps in the tens of billions, much of the revenue is government and one-off system sales, and reported GAAP profits are largely non-cash warrant gains.

Application Readiness: NISQ Reality vs Fault-Tolerant Promise

For each vertical, what is realistic on today's noisy machines versus what requires fault tolerance that does not yet exist at scale. Finance and logistics have the most credible near-term traction; the rest is mostly research and promise.
VerticalNear-term reality (NISQ)Maturity
FinanceMeasured pilots (HSBC and IBM bond trading, up to 34%)Emerging
LogisticsDeployed annealing solvers, single-digit-percent gainsEmerging
Drug discoveryResearch benchmarks (mRNA structure, up to 156 qubits)Early
Materials and chemistryFeasibility studies (batteries, photochemistry)Early
Machine learningVQE production-style workloadsSpeculative
CryptographyThe threat, not a purchase (drives PQC spend)Threat

Named Enterprise Pilots

Representative enterprise engagements with quantum providers. Nearly all are pilots, research, or benchmarks rather than production. The HSBC and IBM bond-trading result is the strongest measured commercial datapoint so far.
EnterpriseResult
HSBCFirst measured quantum value in bond trading (up to 34% better fill prediction)
JPMorganPortfolio optimization and certified-randomness demonstrations
ModernamRNA structure simulation at up to 156 qubits
Boehringer IngelheimmRNA secondary-structure simulation
Mercedes-BenzEV battery chemistry simulation
VolkswagenRoute and paint-line scheduling, battery simulation
DHLCourier routing, roughly 5 to 10% efficiency gains
BMW, BASFPre-competitive quantum-applications consortium

Quantum-as-a-Service: The Commercial Channel

Cloud access, not on-prem hardware sales, is how nearly all customers reach quantum. The hyperscalers aggregate multiple vendors behind one API, which is why durable exposure to commercial usage runs through the large-cap cloud providers.
PlatformTicker
IBM QuantumIBM
AWS BraketAMZN
Azure QuantumMSFT
Google CloudGOOGL
CUDA-Q and NVQLinkNVDA

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Quantum - Applications | Sterling